The New York Times announced on Friday that
The bells of war may not be tolling yet, but the diplomatic fire alarm has been triggered. The IAEA Director Mohamed el Baradei said he would resign if there was a military strike on
The diplomatic momentum M. Churkin mentioned appears to compete with a military one already in the pipeline.
Today, the risk of an American attack against
The credibility of this scenario resides a Realpolitik process that has been running for months now, between the Jewish State and the Iranian proxies in the Middle East such as
It comes while Turkish brokered negotiations between
If Tel Aviv agrees on the two latter points, Hezbollah and mostly its popular base will suffer an existential crisis because the party of god always pretended keeping its weapons till the liberation of Shebaa farms and the release of Lebanese prisoners in
The new “positive” Israeli diplomacy towards
If this logic prevails, the timing of the Israeli attack on
But all this looks very easy, and things tend to become more complicated, because what is expected is a preventive Iranian diplomacy hijacking the Israeli American plans before they get to the crucial moment of attacking. The Israeli game is now uncovered, and it’s time for Teheran to play.
It’s yet very early to proclaim a winner, and uncertain that there will be one.